Bitcoin's $250K Dream Fades!

Bitcoin price drop is casting doubt on predictions of a $250,000 surge by the end of 2025.

Author

Danielle du Toit
November 05, 2025

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Here's what we've got for you today:

  • Bitcoin Drop Fuels Doubts Over $250K Year End Target

  • Crypto Exchange Gemini Eyes Integrating Prediction Markets: Report

  • BlackRock Enters Australian Bitcoin Spot ETFs Market As Competition Heats Up – What To Expect

  • Strategy Won’t Face Bitcoin Liquidation in the Next Bear Market: Willy Woo

❓️ Bitcoin Drop Fuels Doubts Over $250K Year End Target

Bitcoin’s momentum fades as it drops to a four-month low, and analysts now warn of market exhaustion.

  • Bitcoin fell to around $100,800 this week, casting doubt on predictions of a $250,000 surge by the end of 2025.

  • Analyst Houston Morgan expects Bitcoin to peak near $125,000 in 2025, due to its growing dependence on political events tied to US President Donald Trump.

  • Bitfinex analysts also warn of “market exhaustion” as long-term holders sell, and added that failure to reclaim $116,000 soon could trigger further declines.

Gemini plans to launch a CFTC-regulated prediction market following its $4.4B IPO.

  • Gemini plans to enter the prediction markets sector after filing with the CFTC to operate a derivatives exchange that could host event-based contracts.

  • The move follows Gemini’s recent IPO, which raised $433 million and valued the company at $4.4 billion.

  • Prediction market activity is booming, with rival platform Kalshi recording record weekly volumes of more than $1.2 billion in early November.

BlackRock is set to launch its iShares Bitcoin ETF on the ASX by mid-November 2025.

  • BlackRock will launch its iShares Bitcoin ETF on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) by mid-November 2025, which will be a major expansion of its digital asset presence.

  • The ETF has a 0.39% management fee, and will wrap the US-listed iShares Bitcoin Trust, offering Australians regulated Bitcoin exposure without direct custody.

  • BlackRock plans to capitalize on Australia’s booming Bitcoin ETF market, competing with VanEck and Monochrome.

Willy Woo says Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) is safe from Bitcoin liquidation risk.

  • Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo says Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) is unlikely to face liquidation during the next bear market despite its $1.01 billion debt due in 2027.B

  • Woo explained that as long as Strategy’s stock stays above $183.19—equivalent to Bitcoin trading near $91,500—the company can comfortably manage repayments.

  • Strategy’s debt mainly consists of convertible senior notes, which can be settled in cash, stock, or both, giving the firm flexibility to avoid selling Bitcoin.

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